same thing different spin:
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Long Era of US$20,000 Income, Researchers Warn
The LG Economic Research Institute has predicted that with the strengthening won, Korea's per capita income will exceed US$20,000 this year, after 12 years of struggling to escape the $10,000 "trap". Despite this achievement, the institute said, it cannot truthfully be said that the country has joined the advanced economies of the world.
Experts are now warning of a $20,000 "trap". They point to Hong Kong and Singapore, which have yet to cross the $30,000 threshold more than 10 years after passing the $20,000 level. In a report entitled "Korean Economy with $20,000 Per Capita Income" released Thursday, the LG Economic Research Institute predicted that Korea won't pass the $30,000 mark until 2015.
The report says, "It took about 10.1 years on average for advanced countries to reach the $20,000 level after they passed the $10,000 level. In Korea, we had a delay of about two years with the financial crisis of the late 1990s. The country is now able to cross the $20,000 threshold thanks to the recent won appreciation."
In comparison, it took less than 10 years for major advanced countries to reach the $20,000 level -- Ireland (seven years), Japan (six years), and Switzerland (eight years). The report added that it is hard to say that the country has joined the group of advanced countries. "We should not compare the $20,000 that advanced countries achieved decades ago with the amount that Korea has just achieved," the report said.
For example, the U.S. exceeded the $20,000 level in 1988, but adjusted for inflation, Korea's $20,000 is equivalent to $12,900 in 1988 values. Kim Jong-seok, a professor of Economics at Hongik University, said, "We need to pay keen attention to the fact that Hong Kong and Singapore have been stranded in the $20,000 trap for 13 years. These two regions achieved $20,000 per capita income in 1994."
The report bases its prediction for $30,000 by 2015 on the current annual economic growth rate of 3.8%. But experts question if Korea can maintain that rate. "Those countries that joined the group of richest countries after they achieved $20,000, enhanced their growth potential by developing new growth engines, easing regulations, and resolving labor issues," said the report.
(englishnews@chosun.com )